'Mugabe's Zanu PF now like Humpty Dumpty'

HARARE - Zanu PF insiders and observers alike agree that the party has now reached “a point of no return” as its deadly factional and succession wars get uglier by the day — with a senior party official graphically likening the former liberation movement to Humpty Dumpty, the popular nursery rhyme character.

All the insiders and analysts who were canvassed by the Daily News yesterday also agreed that Zanu PF’s worsening infighting had “ominous consequences” for both President Robert Mugabe and the ruling party ahead of the country’s eagerly-anticipated 2018 national elections.

“For a long time, people spoke about the danger of the party reaching a tipping point, a point that I think we have long gone past. In fact, my friends and I now joke and liken the party to Humpty Dumpty because it is so broken that no one can seemingly fix it,” a despondent Zanu PF politburo member said.

A central politburo member who two months ago told the Daily News’ sister paper, the Daily News on Sunday that Mugabe could stop the mindless bloodletting devouring the party if he chose to, said he had also since revised his thinking after realising that the infighting was now beyond the nonagenarian’s control.

“Yes, I remember telling you guys that the president was at the heart of everything that happens in this country, and that there could not be a solution that could be found for anything in the party and the country without his active participation, including the party’s regrettable succession fights.

“That was then when I, like many others in the party, felt that we were just at the tipping point where matters could be rescued.

“We have now gone past that and indeed have gone even past the point of no return that you say others are talking about,” the senior party official said.

All these sentiments come in a new year that has witnessed yet more tumultuous developments in Zanu PF — including more senior party officials, virtually all of them linked to embattled Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa being booted out of the former liberation movement.

Respected political analyst and University of Zimbabwe Political Science lecturer, Eldred Masunungure, said the party’s infighting had become a “lose-lose, high-stakes political game”.

Commenting on the goings-on in Zanu PF, including the recent Chinhoyi meeting by pro-Mnangagwa war veterans — who passed a vote of no confidence against Vice President Phelekezela Mphoko and other senior officials such as Cabinet ministers Jonathan Moyo and Saviour Kasukuwere, who are all seen as opposed to the Midlands godfather succeeding Mugabe — Masunungure also said Team Lacoste should not be underestimated.

“Team Lacoste still appears to represent the main movement as the anchor of Zanu PF are the war veterans. They are the chief mobilisers in the party,” he said, adding that the former freedom fighters commanded respect within the party due to their connection with the country’s security organs.

He said the war veterans knew how to mobilise the general populace, just as they did during the liberation war — which was a major advantage for their faction over their party foes.

“G40 (ambitious young party Turks opposed to Mnangagwa) may have the advantage of being supported by the president, but beyond that Team Lacoste seems to have most of the ground under their control at the moment. They hold the trump cards.

“But it is also true that Zanu PF politics have now reached a point of no return, where the infighting can only end after the resolution of the succession dispute.

“Team Lacoste knows if they lose, they lose absolutely everything, and G40 also knows that if they lose, they lose absolutely. It’s not a win-win situation. Any high-stakes political game tends to be antagonistic,” Masunungure said.

He said the political antagonism devouring the party could only grow bigger if the succession war remained unresolved.

“We are not going to see an end to this war anytime soon,” he said, adding that Mugabe’s planned meeting with the war veterans during the first week of April would also not put an end to the factional and succession fights.

Another political analyst, Maxwell Saungweme, described the climate within Zanu PF as “discordant and implosive”.

“It’s too hot there for a 92-year-old to handle … Team Lacoste has a reasonable following within the party and sections of the war veterans, just like (former Vice President Joice) Mujuru still commands support from the same pools,” he said.

Saungweme also added that war veterans were also increasingly sending a powerful signal to Mugabe that they were not happy with how the First Family was going about its work and politics.

“Mugabe should smell the coffee ... Zimbabwe has no future with Zanu PF in power, and the country continues to have a chaotic government and poorly performing economy due to the failure of this party to pull things together,” he said.

Political analyst Shakespeare Hamauswa said the events unfolding in Zanu PF showed clearly that the party was a “boiling pot”.

“Things are falling apart and the centre can no longer hold. What it means is that anything, including a vote of no confidence on Mugabe, or coup, is now possible.

“It also shows that Team Lacoste is not a push-over. It is still there and they have strategists who are ready to bide their time, who do not advertise their existence or even celebrate their seeming victories as G40 does,” Hamauswa said.

He added that the war veterans, who were largely part of Team Lacoste, were all over in key government sectors, including the army, police and the Central Intelligence Organisation.

“They have the capacity to mobilise people against Zanu PF … sooner or later they will become active opponents of the regime and if their peaceful strategies fail, they can join forces with the opposition, students and the workers’ movements.

“If any revolution is going to happen, it is going to involve or be led by the war veterans,” he said.

Comments (17)

..........come 2018 inongova bhora musango yogayoga , hatingatongwe naGrace isu; itll be a disgrace we died for this country

PEACEMAKER ZANO - 21 March 2016

chisingaperi chinoshura mwari variko matanda makuru mazungunuswa chindya makanda akadzipwa neganda remhuru. Nyika vanhu vayo. Amen

wilie shumba - 21 March 2016

uyu Masunungure chimbomuchinjai saanalyst anorashika kakawanda

herbert chikosi - 21 March 2016

Time has come for all the people to see what people have been debating since 2000 that the President was supposed to unveil a succession plan. Why is Mugabe afraid of seeing another leader even from his own party ZANU PF this means there are a lot of hidden issues the old man would not want to be disclosed while he is still alife. His only last hope is for fighting that he may run out of the country. At his age why is he afraid of naming a successor.

Dingwiza - 21 March 2016

point of correction Hamauswa, Locust displayed t-shirts emblazoned with the faction's title. to me that's a clear advert of xistance! however it cld be tru that they may be strategists because damudzo himself received training in Russia & china and as a result may view him as a 'supremo'. the guy dambudzo also admires people like kagame, who themselves are renouned strategists. so yeah dambudzo and co might be gunning for gold. in the end who cares as long as they are zanu?! let Babylon burn!

SaManyika Chaiye - 21 March 2016

I love jonathan moyo. Who can doubt now that he has managed to singlehandedly destroy ZANU pf

Ndugu - 21 March 2016

Who cares let those ZANU of dogs and the enemies of the pole the warvets fight until their fight will culminate to a new Zim and brainwashed pole like viola ongelangqondo.

Ndoda - 21 March 2016

We care about what yu think,bt take it from us warvets ,still we love our leader Robert Mugabe.we will do the damnest to make sure he is respected regardles.This struggle is against a group of men ,horrible men who r surrounding our leader,telling him not to retire n save the revolution.its a relay,mind yu.pass on the baton stick,dnt proceed to the finnishing line ignoring yo team mates.Hence this struggle is not about embarrasing our leader.no.we love him.and he will be loved forever by us.It is the revolution that shuld move on n be apreciated by the pple.So dnt be over excited for whtever reasn.bt be excited bcoz Zanla wants to correct the errors of the revolution.that be very excited.there is no turning back.

viola gwena - 21 March 2016

When Mugabe was doing the right things, or so we were fooled to believe, during his early days in office, he had all the respect, including of the international community, with even the USA and Britain showering him with accolades. But since he started two timing his wife and hooked up with his typist, the old man has really gone haywire. His expletives are second only to those of his late VP, Joseph Msika. He now demands respect from all and sundry and punishes everyone and anyone who dare(s) question his integrity. There is no integrity left in the old man; he blew it all away in order to lubricate the whimsical fantasies of his gluttonous wife. Now he is an albatross round our necks. The leader whom nobody loves but whom nobody dares tell the truth. In sooth, this country is so full of cowards, else he would long have been made to quit. People- all. learned, whom we believed were educated- leaders, all scramble to curry his favour, with some even going to the extent of publicly wishing they were his sons or daughters, thus berating their own biological parents for bringing them into this world. Shame on you ZANU PF malcontents. Shame on you Zimbabweans, particularly those who can, but wouldn't remove the abhorred dictator from within our midst..I hate being part of you. I despise you ALL.

Jekiseni Chinembiri - 21 March 2016

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Philip Mubaiwa - 22 March 2016

KKKKKKKK who cares when umthakathi or abathakathi 's political party collapses and dies . ZANU and Mugabe must go for good they are evil .

Diibulaanyika - 22 March 2016

listen to me very carefully, Zanu pf like all other political parties in Zimbabwe is facing a struggle within a struggle. But when it comes to the main objective of winning elections and being in power, i promise you there is still future. This i saying driven by the fact that, from what i see happening now, its like an evolution of Zanu pf to match with contemporary politics. Those who think, the Lacoste, G40, what what what resemble the end of ZANU , i think they are mistaken. Come 2016, you will realize my points. Znu pf is a people's party of par excellen

chikware - 22 March 2016

Makaranga tichatonga musingadi muchida We are the most educated people in Zimbabwe Masvingo hoye Midlands hoye viva Wezhira tonga Pamberi ne Team Lacoste imbwa dzinohukura nzou asi inoramba ichingo famba.

Shumbamhenyu - 22 March 2016

"Makaranga are the most educated people..." Makaiita riiniko research iyi, uye tipeiwozve link yethesis yenyu neUniversity kwainowanikwa tiverengewo.Ngatisangorotomoka sezvaakuitwa nemukuru wenyika izvo pliz.Such statements fan hatred and tribalism, and we all know the results of that cancer.

BaMuno - 22 March 2016

the reason why Zimbabwe is this situation is because an average Zimbabwean doesn't want the truth. below are some of the truths that people routinely circumvent: 1. rwavhi gukurahundi Mugabe committed genocide in Zimbabwe mainly the gukurahundi atrocities of the 1980s. this is the reason why he doesn't want to vacate the throne because he knows that he will be arrested. this has nothing to do with his marriage to grace is this come well after he had committed the crimes. 2. grace is a useless slut who left her marriage to get married to rwavhi because of pecuniary gains. 3. joice mujuru was the main driver of corruption in zanu with her late hubby rex. she owns a number of farms, mine and buildings around the country. she has no positive contribution to make to the country given her horrendous performance in govt for the past 35 years. she is a liar who wants us to believe that she always had differences with Mugabe yet she begged him to stay on the eve of her official cashiering. the fact that on top of her priorities is the chasing of solo's killers shows that she is in it for her own benefit and not for national benefit. tsvangirayi lost his wife in dodgy circumstances but never has he said that he wants to avenge that. also, joice consistently said that she has no ambition to become president now she is lying that people requested her to be president. the day we learnt to accept and tell the truth, our country and ourselves shall be liberated!!!

josphat mugadzaweta - 22 March 2016

Joice this is the right opportunity for you to lead Zimbabwe. Team Lacoste your leader will never get our votes.

chibwechitedza - 22 March 2016

Joice this is the right opportunity for you to lead Zimbabwe. Team Lacoste your leader will never get our votes.

chibwechitedza - 22 March 2016

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