End of Mnangagwa?

HARARE - Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa’s chances of succeeding President Robert Mugabe have hit turbulent times after the latter mauled his alleged key henchman — ousted war veterans’ leader Christopher Mutsvangwa while the VP sat on the president’s side stone-faced.

Mnangagwa is battling it out with the party’s clique known as the Generation 40 (G40) in a merciless battle to succeed Mugabe, who turns 92 today.

On its side, the G40 reportedly boasts of First Lady Grace Mugabe, Local Government minister Saviour Kasukuwere, Higher Education minister Jonathan Moyo and Indigenisation minister, who is also Mugabe’s nephew Patrick Zhuwao.

The group has been flexing its muscles, proving more strategic and powerful than Mnangagwa’s Team Lacoste.

UK-based political analyst Alex Magaisa told the Daily News on Sunday that the events that happened last week showed that Team Lacoste is under serious pressure.

“The war vets chose a side but they have been shown to be on the wrong side… they are deluded because they think Mugabe is with them when he is on his wife’s side,” Magaisa said.

This followed the unprecedented move by anti-riot police last Thursday, who mercilessly clamped down on a group of war veterans loyal to Mnangagwa.

The war veterans were tear-gassed and water sprayed, forcing them to disperse from the City Sports Centre, where they had gathered reportedly intending to march to the party’s headquarters.

In light of this scathing attack, Magaisa said Mnangagwa was leaving his supporters to be helplessly devoured by the “wolves” under his watch.

“Mnangagwa’s weakness so far has been his failure to defend himself or his allies in the face of assault by the other side. It has always been said he is powerful and strong but that might also have been a mythical figure created by the media but not consistent with reality.

“Maybe Mnangagwa’s power has been overestimated all along. It remains to be seen whether he will spring a defence or he will go the (former vice president Joice) Mujuru way, buried without a fight,” Magaisa said.

Over the past few weeks, Mnangagwa’s power base was shaken to the core, a factor that analyst Dewa Mavhinga said was based on Zanu PF’s investment on State power and the capacity to control security forces.

“Judging by how the police mercilessly crushed the planned war veterans rally in Harare, it looks like State machinery is not on Mnangagwa’s side,” Mavhinga said.

He said it was difficult for Mnangagwa to form a splinter group, because he had few sympathisers and was on the receiving end in the Zanu PF’s succession war.

“This may very well be the end of his political career because even when under attack as he is, he will not want to fight Mugabe directly, although it is clear that the G40 position that Grace Mugabe fronts must have Mugabe’s blessings,” he said.

However, another analyst, Maxwell Saungweme said Mnangagwa, to a certain extent still had influence and power within the party.

“The fact that the State had to unleash police on some old war vets shows that the Lacoste faction has steam and backing. If it was a useless and weak faction there will be no need to invoke the wroth of the police on the old liberation fighters,” he said.

He added that many people within the party paid patronage to Mugabe, while some were questioning his wife’s ability to lead.

“War vets have over the years been treated marginally by Zanu PF. They have been used as part of the infrastructure of violence…this is not the first time war vets have been ill-treated by the regime.

“Remember during Operation Murambatsvina (Operation Clean-up) in May 2005, most of the war vets lost houses they had built as they were members of the many housing cooperatives that had come up in the immediate aftermath of Hondo Yeminda (Land Reform Programme),” Saungweme said, adding that Mnangagwa was leading a splinter group.

Comments (18)

Its more of an end to the entire existance of zanu pf as a party, than an individual. Everyone is going down and in stages, Eventually everything will just collapse...It does not matter who goes first.

X-MAN IV - 21 February 2016

Grade 7 exam paper: Dudzira chiral we Ichi: "Rakazvirova rikazhamba..."

Chasura - 21 February 2016

Ngwena haiende zvekumhanya uchanyora politicall obituary yaNgwena ugonyora , Chris haana kwari kuenda zvese NeNgwena watch and learn

hameno - 21 February 2016

Mnangagwa might have been powerful at one point in his political journey but I suppose the President noticed that way back and put Ngwena under close check, to the extent of bringing him closest to himself, initially as HE's election agent and now vice-president. Naturally the ambitious Ngwena got fulled, like Mr Tsvangirai paGNU, and now he wakes up to realize that he has been outsmarted. Naturally he has gone the Edson Zvobgo way, that of creating an all-powerful presidency in the hope of assuming it in no time ( the 2014 December ZANU PF Congress refers, where Ngwena as party's legal secretary doctored the abolishing of the party chairmanship's post to consolidate an all-powerful first secretary's post) and only to realize now that he was only used as a porn for his own demise. Check who are in charge of the security portfolios both in the party and in government and whose loyalty they expend to (the president or Ngwena), Chombo - Police, Muhadi - Intelligence, Sekeramai, Defence Forces! these three are the constituents of the center-of-power in Zimbabwean politics today. Whoever have them on their side rules. Ngwena is done with in ZANU PF. He could just resign now from both party and government and pursue his political ambitions in another way BUT I don't think he commands any following outside the covers of ZANU PF, if the past elections where he lost in one of the Kwekwe's constituent elections is anything to go by. His prophetic soul ones pushed him to say something like, "The road to the State House is very long, far too long that one who embarks on a journey to China on foot from here can get there way before one who tries to get to the State House, which is just across the road, does." President RG Mugabe is in control and for one to think otherwise is foolhardy. ME THINKS!

Nyatsimba Mutota - 21 February 2016

It a strategy of ZanuPf to hog the limelight in the press and stuff the opposition. This is cadre deployment soon it will flood the opposition with its offshoots. No current opposition will benefit from this. Currently mai Mjuru has surpursed Tsvangirai and if Ngwena goes out another piece is taken.

View from the gazebo - 21 February 2016

Yes it's true the security organs where structured on tribal basis to protect Mugabe. However Mugabe also knows very clear that he will not win a free and fair election without Ngwena and Chiwengwa. So it's check mate to Bob too if he dumps Team Lacoste. What Ngwena should however do is stand up for all this nonsense from Mugabe and tell him in no uncertain terms that mudhara you are on your own now. Draw a line on the sand and tell him you cross this line I will let loose my soldiers and there will be civil war. It's now or never for Ngwena.

Be Warned - 21 February 2016

@ be warned. never fool that senile alligator to attempt such a daring feat lest he will self distruct together with innocent souls who will be caught in between

mhofu - 21 February 2016

We dared Grace and Mugabe to dumb Ngwena and win 2018 elections we still dare them go ahead , what are they waiting for isu we want Ngwena on the campaign trail, that bitch is making too much noise. For her to be FL it was the Ngwenas, Mujrus , the army and the nationa at large , not by herslef. Akanganwa zvazuro nehope she thinks she can do it alone this time go ahead we are watching no one is stopping. EMPTY VESSELS MAKE A LOT OF NOISE ....BYE BYE GRACE....NO ONE IS SCARE DOF YOU OR MUGABE ZVAKAPERA KUDHARA

Haiwa - 21 February 2016

Check this space..!! I am waiting for the day VP Munangagwa is going to announce his aspirations to be President in the open and that's the day I would want to look mai Mahoka in the eye. Timing is very important. Like a real croc wait until the prey gets in the water to drink. MUCHASHAMA. MAITI MUGABE CANT BE CHALLENGED HEZVOKA IZVO.

Ndugu - 21 February 2016

bt why grace is taking things by herself.remembt he is the firstly so the thing of advising people in the state is non of her busness i can say

perco mafunga - 22 February 2016

ndiko kupera kwe ngwena. there is no harm for the croco to be sunk. people fear him anyway. we do not want another gukurahundi.

zvirozviyedzwa - 22 February 2016

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Nelson Chitsoka - 22 February 2016

I wait for the day the headline will read, 'end of zanu'. I cant wait; I just cant! I want rhobhati to fire ngwena right now so that zanu gets weaker and at the same time ngwena goes into oblivion.

SaManyika Chaiye - 22 February 2016

Ngwena will surprise and will keep on doing exactly that. Bob knows kuti its Ngwena's time. Grace should prepare kwekutizira cz revenge is damn sour

Clemence Tashaya - 22 February 2016

we r goin there bit by bit

envy of all MANKIND tts me - 22 February 2016

Seems people cannot read the situation correctly. What's being destroyed is Zanu-PF and certainly not ED. Watch this space.

Biggie Taapatsi - 23 February 2016

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