'Zimbabwe on the brink'

HARARE - Zimbabwe is on the brink of total collapse and the infighting in Zanu PF could trigger unprecedented chaos in the country - with the death of two political activists from the ruling party - a sign of a "rotten regime" that is on its "wits end", the Oxford linked NKC African Economics (NKC) has said.

Citing the resurgence of political violence and rising poverty levels, as well as continued company closures in the country, the respected economic think-tank said Zanu PF is now in a cul-de-sac.

In its latest report, NKC predicts the downfall of President Robert Mugabe's party - which has ruled Zimbabwe for the past 35 years.

In the report titled, "Renewed violence an inevitable consequence of regime decay," NKC says Zanu PF is walking dead.

"The US (United States) and European Union (EU) have raised a fresh red flag over reports of increasing violence and growing repression in Zimbabwe. These are issues we highlighted some time ago as likely consequences of regime decay and increasing political instability," the report reads.

According to NKC, the prevailing economic conditions place Zimbabwe in the 'Potential Conflict Watch' list that also includes countries like the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar, and Western Sahara.

"The increase in violence, intimidation and inevitable repression has seen a renewed clampdown on government opponents with the arrests of more than 50 people during the second week of November at various protests and student demonstrations," noted NCK in its report.

The economic think-tank also buttressed views made by analysts last week that Zanu PF's ugly factional fights could turn violent-with Mugabe now unable to meet the rigours and demands of his punishing workload due to old age.

"The simmering succession contest taking place within the ruling party is also resulting in conflict and violence as First Lady Grace Mugabe turns on her one-time ally (and her husband's most likely successor), Vice President Emmerson Mnangagwa.

"Mrs Mugabe's intentions are unclear though she clearly has some ambitions, and her methods of inciting violence and her venomous tongue have turned on  Mnangagwa. The internal conflict in Zanu PF has at least as much potential for violence as inter-party conflict. Both are being fuelled by the simmering discontent in Zimbabwe - a consequence of a growing economic crisis and rising frustration and anger."

The UK-based research company also added that Zimbabwe's political system has long appeared immune to any domestic or external pressures, and has defied all predictions to date of its imminent demise.

"We suggest that those days may now be numbered due to a series of fresh hammer blows to its long-suffering people.

"We have already argued that the combined impact of several recent economic blows on ordinary people - removing hawkers from the streets and denying them even that meagre existence, thereby adding thousands of new unemployed to a number that is already terrifyingly large - is not sustainable and is likely to increase the level of anger, frustration, and desperation in the country. Inevitably, confrontation, violence and repression will follow.

"If we put rising internal conflict within Zanu PF and plans to drastically reduce the public payroll into the mix, it becomes even more toxic. Zimbabwe has moved closer to the brink," added the report.

Analysts have said contrary to the government's heavy propaganda, the Zimbabwe economy is "definitely dying", as manifested by worsening liquidity challenges, company closures and job losses.

Comments (7)

there is 1 thing yu mis here.Most of these bad things hapening its not only in zim,people.Its worldwide.yes we r down economically bt to suggest doom n gloom is too far fetched.Govnment is now 60 % focused on recovery.VP is 100% working on gorvnment projects.Look at his trip from china,his parliament responses.A hardworking man.Look at chinamasa s work so far.Mzembi, hardworking ministers under Ngwena.just need a push at mining ,agriculture n industry n commerce.the 3 r fast asleep.

viola gwena - 20 November 2015

when gornment deals with corruption as ngwena said,we on the rise again.The man is working hard in government that he has no time political rallies n mind games.He is very busy as all can see.He needs support now.Put aside all our politics,zanu fuctions,mdc fuctions n support this man for change.we have given politics toomuch time since 2000 n nothing bt noise as products.lets try for just 2 yrs to push ngwena to raise the country.

viola gwena - 20 November 2015

viola gwena you are a pathetic Mnangagwa apologist

Farai Tafa - 20 November 2015

government is working tirelessly ??? are you insane ? . why would they work tirelessly when they took over economy iri makeke.The problem is they steal and are under qualified for office . those are vana mujibha and guerillas in suits who still think the best way to get things done is by using force. Makadzinga unity government for what ? , ZANU PF yakutoda a USA drone strike .

tongogara - 21 November 2015

Guys, does the truth destroy or build. We running a European-style government, economy,.. and we are in the midst of a protracted revolution to transform our life-form to Euro-style from primitive stone-iron age cultures much less civilised than the civilizations of Abram's sojourn those millennia past. Let us accept our deficiency that we lack the modern culture as we seek unstoppably to assimilate it, as has Singapore, Japan and is starting along like Ethiopia, or Kenya ,now. I suggest that we need among ourselves more of the white man and his capitalist culture, the scientific culture, the wedding culture, ...., what not culture, ... what?

maombo david - 23 November 2015

zimbabwe is a GOD guided country we have been surviving this way for long dont waste your tyme analysing the wrong way we can survive

zim1 - 24 November 2015

for what shuld I apologise on?whats the transgration.?think and come up with solutions or 1,if yu can farai.Im talking about economy bro,simple.

viola gwena - 25 November 2015

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