MDC faces hard choices - Analysts

HARARE - Political analysts say MDC president Morgan Tsvangirai is in a quandary as to whether he should join President-elect Robert Mugabe in a hybrid government or face the reality of joining opposition ranks.

Tsvangirai, who lost to the 89-year-old Zanu PF leader in the just-concluded harmonised plebiscite, has claimed that the revolutionary party is seeking to engage him for talks over yet another unity government.

While the opposition leader is adamant that he will not be engaging in talks, analysts say the former trade unionist, who has lost the third presidential election contest against Mugabe since 2002, is “trapped between a rock and hard place.”

Trevor Maisiri, a senior analyst at the South Africa-based political think-tank International Crisis Group told the Daily News that Tsvangirai must first drop his Constitutional Court challenge if he is to consider working with his old rival again.

“Inviting the MDC to government gives a semblance of legitimacy to the election as well as creating a hybrid government that is able to ensure political stability in the country as well as international recognition and acceptance,” Maisiri said.

“Such a hybrid government will primarily focus on re-working the economy and delivering the post election expectations of citizens which include job creation, social services, general service delivery, livelihoods support and broad economic recovery.

“However, for the MDC, there are hard decisions to be made. Joining a hybrid government would mean having to drop off their court challenge and accept the outcome of the election.”  He added that there are little or no prospects of Tsvangirai succeeding to have the elections nullified and if he does not join Mugabe in government, he will have to face the reality of being outright opposition, whose only way out will be to begin to prepare for the 2018 elections.

Maisiri said it was not wise for Tsvangirai to be challenging the elections outcome in court while at the same time pursuing negotiations to join Zanu PF in government.

He warned the 61-year-old veteran opposition leader against pursuing both options at the same time as it sends mixed signals and multiple messaging. He said Tsvangirai needed to be decisive about a single route of action.

“Tsvangirai cannot also set a condition that Zanu PF admits that they rigged elections because practically and politically it will never take that line,” Maisiri said. “If he is confident that there is case of Zanu PF’s rigging of elections, then he must not expect that such a case will be proven by the party’s admission.

“The MDC basically needs to prop up the substantial and empirical evidence, which is the only way to prove this.”

Macdonald Lewanika of the Crisis in Zimbabwe Coalition argues that Zanu PF is faced with a legitimacy crisis that it faced after the sham 2008 presidential run-off and would prefer a coalition.

He however, said the arrangement would mainly benefit Mugabe as it will be arrived at on his terms unlike in 2008.

“Given the dispute that surrounds the outcome of the elections Zanu PF would want to get legitimacy by involving the MDC but in practice there is no meaningful contribution that Tsvangirai will make as long as it does not benefit Zanu PF,” Lewanika said.

“Although neither Zanu PF nor the MDC can claim that they have a legitimate mandate to form a government on their own, it will be unwise for Tsvangirai to re-engage with Mugabe as it only serves to legitimise Mugabe’ stolen victory.”

However, in his first public speech at the National Heroes Acre, Mugabe said those who doubted his landslide victory “can go hang.”

Comments (19)

Mugabe n Zanu PF won and they will be forming a legitimate government. This paper must not continue publishing claims that has no substance if it still want to remain relevent in Zimbabwe...

bones - 16 August 2013

The more appropriate story under such a heading was to tell the nation that the former prime minister is an a quandary as whether to dump his harlot or stay with the street woman as wife.

reason - 16 August 2013

Running away from inclusive gov. to Hybrid gov. Your paper is in a mess. Two thirds majority and you still want a Hybrid Gov. Dream on!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Mundamurefu - 16 August 2013

The reason why ZANU PF did so well is because everyone else was Dreaming, hence the nightmarish July the 31st . Keep the dream alive and shortly after inauguration, whoever cares to 'wake up' would be confronted by the obvious truth that YOUR Tsvangirai is a gonna.

Mundamurefu - 16 August 2013

Your story is not realistic at all. The MDC should pursue the presentation of empirical and unequivocal evidence of the vote rigging so that this presents a permanent unequivocal query on the legtimacy of the Zanu PF govt even if Zanu will never admit to the rigging. With the question of lack of legitimacy hanging above their heads Zanu Pf will continue appearing like they are putting on stolen robes. This added to the fact that while they could rig the election, they will not be able to rig the economy, all the promises they made will never be realised and if no jobs are created and everything becomes difficult for the population, this time around people will see through their folly of voting for Zanu Pf

Mukanya waSvosve - 16 August 2013

Your story is not realistic at all. The MDC should pursue the presentation of empirical and unequivocal evidence of the vote rigging so that this presents a permanent unequivocal query on the legtimacy of the Zanu PF govt even if Zanu will never admit to the rigging. With the question of lack of legitimacy hanging above their heads Zanu Pf will continue appearing like they are putting on stolen robes. This added to the fact that while they could rig the election, they will not be able to rig the economy, all the promises they made will never be realised and if no jobs are created and everything becomes difficult for the population, this time around people will see through their folly of voting for Zanu Pf

Mukanya waSvosve - 16 August 2013

mdc-t lost the election dismally. its snr members are out of jobs and they cannot handle that reality. Their court challenge is not genuine. it is mearnt to delay Mugabe's inauguration and subsequent formation of a Zanu pf gvt so that the mdc-t has a window to plead for jobs in Mugabe's gvt while at the same time trying to lure some funding from their white supporters to line their pockets to offset loss of income. They are also trying to negotiate for exit packages. Their actions have nothing to do with their suppoerters who have already licked their wounds and moved on

alexio - 16 August 2013

MDC T instead of joining the illigitimet they must start mobolising their support base everyone kwows that the elections were rigged ZANU PF Will not do anything without MDC T chavanogona ngechekuti vahnu vanomwa mvura inemasuweji vane degrees awo vongoramba vachitengesa zvavo air time yawo

dofo - 16 August 2013

Those CRISIS or whatever and this paper are so delusional to think that anyone from MDCTsvangCRY shits will get any posts in the new government.This paper is full of nonsense and no one sane person can take you serious you guys.I for one just log onto your site just to hear and see how far has the deceitfulness and blatant LIES you would have been concocted.Its a shame how missguided and muppet puppetry ideology you got.This is one paper if possible should be CLOSED down FORCEFULLy and get out circulation as soon as possible.The PROJECT is crummbling like a house of mud.Good riddance to Roy Bennet may his soul rest in PIECES we wont miss you.I Repeat NO ONE

mike muchapondwa - 16 August 2013

So much about moving on ? lol

Mboko - 16 August 2013

Tsvangirai is a weak and incompetent leader and Mugabe is a ruthless tyrant. The two have lost credibility and forming another unity government will not improve the credit rating. The two idiots should step aside and allow others to implement the necessary democratic reforms and then hold free and fair elections and stop imposing another fudged solution on the nation!

Wilbert Mukori - 16 August 2013

The problem is not a landslide victory with a 2/3 majority, kwete...it's about legitimacy.....a question which arises when the election is rigged a situation that once plunged the country into economic and political mayhem.

Mutoko - 16 August 2013

If anyone challenges Mugabe for the presidency that person becomes enemy-number-one. Mugabe will only rest when he is safely inagurated as President then he goes to "swallow" the challenger knowing he is safely President like he did with Nkomo' s Zapu. Once the inaguration is done then he doesn't mind giving challengers like Tsvangirai some meaningless position for as long as he is assured of the presidency. The man has an obsession with Presidency. This is the only thing he has ever wanted in his entire life. He will do and say anything to stay President. While other nationalists in Rhodesia thought they were fighting the whites, Mugabe was fighting those in nationalist leadership like Nkomo, Parirenyatwa, Ndabaningi, et al and potential leaders in the parties. As long as you accept to work under him then you will survive.

Musemburi - 16 August 2013

Mugabe's first and only love is being President. That is all he ever cares about. Everything else comes second - even his family comes second. I have followed his political career since the 1960s, and when I learnt about his earlier life before politics then I began to realise what sort of person he is. Very determined and ruthless. Everything he did or has done was/is designed to be President. He tried to educate himself to be better than everyone else and be President. I had a chat with him back in the 1974 after he had been released from detention in Highfields - you would have thought years in detention would have dulled his desire for politics but I found him much more determined than I thought. He actually chided me for drinking beer not doing something about politics!

Musemburi - 16 August 2013

Majority agree that the elections were not free and fair.SADC had its guidelines for holding free and fair elections not followed here in Zimbabwe.Is it going to change the guidelines to suit what has happened in Zimbabwe?

chimwango - 16 August 2013

I am glad that most of the Daily News readers are now aware that the paper is full of third rate journalist journalist particularly GIFT PHIRI and compromised so called analysis to who are always day dreaming. As for the Daily News itself, it is a failed, lying and propaganda MDC (T) blunt tool. The paper's mission is Telling lies as they are.

Rabison Nyundo (THR HAMMER) - 17 August 2013

Since Mugabe claims to have won then he has to rule on his own, WHY invite a loser in this case??? These guys used Tsvangirai to gain legitimacy and to clean the economic mess they had created with no clue of how to solve it. This time they just have to go it alone. Tsvangirai has never said that he wants to be part of the Zhanu PF government, those who are saying it are just being mischievous. #CHITONGAItione!

Martin K - 17 August 2013

Among another others, I think Tsvangirayi & MDC need to learn this important lesson: 'In any process, if you make wrong choices/decisions they often come back to haunt you'. To me MDC made 2 big blunders, namely: 1. Hastely joining ZANU PF in a heavily lopsided creature called GNU - wherein they were denied an power/authority. Many of us asked then, 'why the haste when it was clear so that Mugabe lacked the balls to form a government after fraudulently declaring himself winner' of a non-eventful election. 2. Remaining ensconced in GNU creature for 4 yrs, pretending things were working despite Mugabe demonstrating beyond doubt that he was in fact above the so-called GNU agreement, if not above SADC and AU who had initially vowed to guarantee of the same. May be it was the comfort of the office - only GOD knows. These guyz even colluded with ZANU PF to disenfranchised majority of Zimbos in the constitution-making process. In all these & many other omissions and/or commissions the MDC to some extent sanitized fraud and/or autocracy. And effectively allowed ZANU PF to steal this election without even blinking.

mapingu - 17 August 2013

Tswangs will be stupid to go on a Hybrid Gov, he will be used like they used him in 2008, that was when he sold th peopl of Zim he had the world on him as they could see that the Zanu had imposed the the Bhora Masango on MDC people, but he only cares about the the fat cheque and the Missus, then it comes back to make we wonder if he is inded have the cappabilities of a laeder, Well clearly the answer is NO, Ncube was right when he said this guy doesnt know anything, Dream Idiot Zanu has the Majority in cabinet you will only be there to be used and wena on your side jus a fat cheque nje YOU ARE A TOTAL FAILURE, sorry i had to wright in Caps as some things are better be recognised

Mfana Ka Sobhuku... - 19 August 2013

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